🌍 Abruin Climate Trends Dashboard

Comprehensive Climate Analysis 1984-2025 | Real-time Monitoring & Projections

📅 Analysis Period: 1984 - 2025 | 42 Years of Data
⚠️ CRITICAL: Regime shift detected around 2000. System now in heat-stressed degraded state.

🌡️ Temperature Trends

+2.3K
Total Warming
+0.032K/year
3x
Heatwave Increase
Post-2010
298K+
Collapse Threshold
Critical Level
Early Stress
296K
VHI begins to drop
Severe Stress
297K
NDVI decline
Ecosystem Collapse
298K+
VHI < 30

🌧️ Rainfall Patterns

-0.2mm/yr
Annual Trend
Non-significant
0.28→0.52
Variability (CV)
Post-2000
171mm
Gu Season Avg
Mar-May

📊 Key Insight

Rainfall quantity stable but reliability collapsed. Variability doubled post-2000, making seasonal planning extremely challenging.

💧 Soil Moisture Dynamics

-0.15%/yr
Decline Rate
p < 0.01
68%
Years SM < 12%
Post-2000
45%
Years SM < 10%
Post-2015
Stress Threshold
12%
NDVI begins decline
Collapse Threshold
10%
Vegetation failure
Crisis Level
8%
Irreversible damage

🌪️ Extreme Events

27/42
Drought Years
64% frequency
8
Extreme Droughts
SPI ≤ -2
3
Multi-year Events
1999-2001, 2015-17, 2021-22
COMPOUND EVENTS: SM < 10% + LST > 297K + SPEI < -1.5

📈 Climate Indices

-0.857
VHI vs LST
Strong negative
+0.374
NDVI vs SM
Moderate positive
-0.148
NDVI vs Rain
Surprising negative

🔍 Scientific Insight

Heat stress (LST) now dominates vegetation health. Rainfall effectiveness has collapsed despite stable totals.

📅 Seasonal Critical Windows

Apr-May
Establishment
Critical period
Aug-Oct
Peak Stress
High risk
Low
Deyr Reliability
Declining
PROTECT ESTABLISHMENT WINDOW (Apr-May) - Determines annual success

Abruin Climate Trends Dashboard | Data Period: 1984-2025 | Generated from Comprehensive Climate-Vegetation Analysis

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